Posts Tagged ‘Moving Averages’

Free Forex Trading Strategy

February 7, 2010 in Forex Trading Strategies | Comments (0)

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Many forex traders don’t know where to begin when it comes time to implement a trading strategy. All the education in the world isn’t going to be of use without an example of what a trading system looks like. In this article, I’ll show you a simple, but effective, forex trading strategy that is constructed using some very basic tools.

Throughout my career in the forex industry, teaching thousands of traders how to profit, I’ve always suggested to start with a trend following approach to trading currencies. I do the same thing with my current clients. Naturally, I’m going to share a trend following approach with you.

I firmly believe in following trends in the forex market for one simple reason: they’re huge. Big trends in the forex market occur every year. You can usually identify them in the early stages and ride them for big gains. Trading trends in the forex market is by far the easiest way to make money trading currencies. I would even argue that it’s the most profitable way.

Trend Identification

The first component of this system is defining and identifying a trend. I need to define both upward and downward trends. To do this, I’m going to use two tools:

  • 5 Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
  • 20 Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA)

These two moving averages will help us to consistently and objectively define the trend. They work together like this:

  • The trend is up if the 5 Day EMA is greater than the 20 Day EMA
  • The trend is down if the 5 Day EMA is less than the 20 Day EMA

It’s pretty simple, but highly objective. There’s no arguing with the rules. Either the 5 Day EMA is above or below the 20 Day EMA and the trend is either up or down, respectively.

I like the 5 Day and 20 Day EMAs because they tend to work together pretty well during trending periods. You could substitute different parameters depending on the time horizon that you want to target. For instance, bigger parameters like a 50 and 200 Day EMA would lead to bigger, longer lasting trends.

Entry Points

To spot entry points, I like to use a Full Stochastic with the (5,3,3) settings. I prefer the Full Stochastic over the Fast or Slow Stochastic. The reason is that the Full Stochastic tends to be a little smoother when it comes to timing the turns of a currency pair.

The Full Stochastic generates buy and sell signals quite frequently. A buy signal is generated when the Fast Line, or %K, crosses above the Slow Line, or %D. A sell signal is generated when the Fast Line, or %K, crosses below the Slow Line, or %D.

To take entry points, I simply align the buy signals in the Full Stochastic when the EMAs are in an upward trend; I enter short positions when the Full Stochastic generates a sell signal during downward trends in the EMAs.

Exit Points

I use the moving averages to define exit points in the following way. If I’m in a long position, I’ll ride it as long as the 5 Day EMA trends above the 20 Day EMA. I’ll exit the long position as soon as the 5 Day EMA crosses below the 20 Day EMA. If I’m in a short position, I’ll ride it as long as the 5 Day EMA trends below the 20 Day EMA. I’ll exit the short position as soon as the 5 Day EAM crosses above the 20 Day EMA.

Stop Losses

Stop losses are a critical component of any forex trading strategy. In this particular strategy, using the 5 and 20 Day EMAs and the Full Stochastic (5,3,3), I like to reference the 14 Day Average True Range (ATR) for my stop loss. I’ll set my stop 1 to 2 ATRs away from my entry point. Using the ATR enables me to adjust my stop across different currency pairs, which display different volatility characteristics.

Currency Pairs

When I’m using this strategy, I like to stay diversified. I do so by not trading too many overlapping pairs. For instance, I would never be in the same positions at the same time:

  1. Long EUR/USD
  2. Long GBP/USD
  3. Short USD/CHF
  4. Short USD/JPY

These four positions are all short the U.S. dollar; they are all closely correlated. If the dollar suddenly rallied, I would be in big trouble. To combat this risk, I try to spread my positions across different currency pairs that move somewhat independent of one another. Applying a little common trading sense in this regard will go along way.

Summary

This is a good forex trading strategy that you can use, especially if you’re new to the forex market. It covers all of the essential elements of a trading system, such as entry points, exit points, stop losses, and diversification. It’s profitable over time, but has its limitations. All trading systems have advantages and disadvantages, which you’ll only discover after gaining some experience actually applying the systems in the market. A good way to gain experience is to paper trade any system for a few months.


Forex Trading Strategies That Are Helpful

December 10, 2009 in Forex Trading Strategies | Comments (0)

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The objective of having profits has caught the attention of many people to join Forex trading. Anywhere in the world, many people would put their hard earned money into this kind of trade. If you are one among those who plan to invest, then you have to equip your self with the weapon that will ensure your success. You need to be aware that there are Forex trading strategies that would help you a lot. These strategies alone however, do not guarantee your instant success. As with other business activities, you need some personal characteristics that are needed such as fairness, insight, and experience. Having such characteristics will somehow save you from losses.

Recognizing the volatile nature of Forex trading, you should also bear in mind that trading strategies are not foolproof. From time to time, changes are needed so as to keep up with the changing conditions. These call for amendments to old rules, and issuances of new ones.

In order not to involve major changes in their entire strategies, large financial players such as banks and brokers maintain just the basic strategies. They make use of these basic strategies to earn profit. Their experience in the business has taught them some of the approaches that have proved beneficial to them. Here are two of these strategies.

SMA (Slow Moving Averages)

Those who are new to Forex trading can easily use this strategy, one of the simplest and probably the most suited to them. In this strategy, the trader has to watch two averages which are at play – the slow moving and the fast moving. With these averages set at different time periods, the trader has to keep watch when the fast moving crosses the slow one. When this happens, the trader should purchase. The same thing is true when the slow moving crosses the fast one. In this strategy, the speed of movement of the two averages can be used to determine the entry and the exit points.

Fibonacci Trading

This strategy being complex is recommended only for those who are well experienced in the trade. In order to interpret and calculate when best to buy and sell, the highest and the lowest swings are used. When the Fibonacci hits its lowest, it signals the best time to buy Forex. Conversely, the best time to sell Forex is when Fibonacci reaches its highest level. Be reminded again that this strategy is not foolproof due to the inherent nature of the trade. As a Forex trader who uses the Fibonacci strategy, timing and experience are still a must.

There are other different Forex trading strategies which can also bring you rewards. What you should always remember is that above any strategy, your experience is still your best weapon.


My Forex Trading Strategies Revealed

August 3, 2009 in Forex Trading Strategies | Comments (0)

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The secret of success in foreign exchange trading is the development of good Forex trading strategies. A good trading strategy enables the trader to maximize his profit while minimizing his losses.

How do you develop effective Forex trading strategies? First, create one that operates on a few simple rules. Simple strategies have a higher chance of success than complicated ones. One good strategy is the ‘breakout’ method. In this method, the trader sets a price range then trades the currency pair when it breaks out of the range. You can set your Forex robot to trade using this strategy by asking it to buy when the price reaches the upper end of the range and sell when the price reaches the lower end of the range.

Second, a good strategy looks at long-term trends. Focusing on the long-term will generate higher profits for the trader. When you spot a long-term trend, you should then use daily and real-time charts to spot trading possibilities.
Third, a good trader integrates time management into his strategy. Automated trading software may help execute trades but it is ultimately up to the trader to set a long-term strategy for the Forex robot to follow.

There are many sites where a Forex trader can pick up strategies to try. One sample strategy involves the use of slow moving averages (moving averages are the average price over a given period of time). Using multiples of seven (7, 14, 21), enter trading when the 7 slow moving average goes through 14 and above 21. At this point, buy or sell the currency pair in the direction of the 7 slow moving average. Exit the market when the 7 slow moving average touches the 21 slow moving average on the chart. You can also program this strategy on your Forex robot.

There are a multitude of other strategies you can try online. Or you can develop your own strategies when you have developed sufficient proficiency. But the important thing to remember is that Forex trading strategies, no matter how effective, are no guarantee of profitability.

By: Kelvin Dee