Posts Tagged ‘Game’

Forex Trading Strategy – Why You Can Never Predict Forex Prices

February 7, 2010 in Forex Trading Strategies | Comments (0)

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Many new forex traders think the core of a forex trading strategy should be predicting where forex prices will go. Try it and you will lose, you will win if you trade in a different way so why is prediction not the way to make money? Let’s find out. If you are predicting you are in effect hoping or guessing which is not a way to make money in any venture let alone forex trading. You cannot predict the future and if you try, your predictions will be as accurate as your horoscope.

There is however a big market in people who say they can predict and many theories that say you can such as Elliot wave, Fibonacci and Gann. They argue that as human nature is constant so the markets must be as well. However if you think about it this logic is obviously not true, because if markets were predictable with science, we would all know the answer in advance and there would be no market.

Markets move based upon uncertainty and while human nature is constant, it is not predictable with science – trading is a game of odds not certainties. If you want to win you trade the reality of price change and don’t try and guess in advance.

For example if you see a market testing a level of resistance you do not simply enter a trading signal – if you do you are trading against the trend and you could be wrong. Instead you wait for prices to test resistance and wait for prices to turn back the other way. Sure you miss the turn – but you couldn’t predict that anyway, so there is no point trying!

How do you know when to trade.

The secret of correct market timing is using momentum oscillators. There are many you can use and three of the best are: RSI, ADX and the stochastic indicator. We don’t have time to go through exactly how they work here simply look at our other articles and make them part of your essential forex education.

The key advantage they give you with your forex trading strategy is they allow you to gauge shifts in price momentum. You can use these shifts, to allow you to trade the reality of a price change to achieve better market timing and more forex profits.

The forex traders who rely on prediction lose and are generally naïve or greedy traders who think forex trading is simply a walk in the park – its not and neither would you expect it to be. The real pro forex traders don’t rely on hope or guessing or attempting to buy market tops or bottoms they look at and trade the reality of price change.

The way to succeed in forex is simply to look at support or resistance and time your entry on shifts in momentum and you should not just do this with a view to these levels holding.
You also need to buy or sell breakouts of new market highs or lows. It’s a fact that most markets develop their best trends from these highs and lows and you need to learn to go with them and enter the market.

It may look like your getting in at good levels and its tempting to wait for the pullback – but these moves tend to not pull back and accelerate and offer the biggest profit potential. The market price is the right place and if you cut out prediction and trade the reality, you can have the basis of a forex trading strategy that can make big consistent profits.


Winning Forex: the 100k Challenge

November 16, 2009 in Forex Trading Strategies | Comments (0)

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It wasn’t easy but we did it, $1k to $100k on both demo and live accounts. Let’s take a moment to celebrate and then get down to business. There, was that long enough? Ok.

Why did some people make it and other give up or just painfully failed? I have narrowed it down to several reasons. Hopefully you will be able to take these lessons away from this article and impliment them into your own trading.

1. Trading more then 1% a trade.

Seems a little weird that the people who eventually made the $100k only risked a max of 1% of their capital in any given trade? Well thats what everyone who made it did. Trading this amount of capital keeps you in the game if you eventually run into a losing streak on the market. This is a vital piece of information to remember. Even though your profits will be lower then a person who risks, say, 10% a trade, your long term ability to stay in the game is far greater then the 10% trader.

2. Trading more then 3 major currency pairs at a time.

There is no way getting around it, Forex can sometimes be a risky and volitile market. Information saturates the internet about every major currency pair. Keeping track of more then 3 currency pairs will often leave the trader in paralysis of analysis. Personally i only trade 2 majors and keep up to date on those. Being a master of 2 currency pairs is far better then being a jack of all pairs and a master of none.

3. Being lazy and not constantly learning.

People change, and markets based on people change with them. Forex changes all the time, what is a favoured currency, what isn’t favoured can change week to week. My point here is not to only trade the news, my point is that the people who succceeded in making the $100k were always shaprpening their skills. This market can make you filthy rich so why wouldnt you spend the time learning all you can about it? I can never understand new traders who read a few books on Forex and think that their learning is finished. If you want to make money off Forex remember this, the cost of trading forex is Capital and Learning.

4. Only focusing on one time frame.

Last but not least here is something we probably all did as new traders. But the sooner you kick this habit the better off you will be. Let me give you an example. If a daily chart is showing an upward trend reversal, but on a 1 minute chart it is showing a strong start to an upward trend, if you are only focusing on the 1 minute chart you are going to lose a lot of chedder. My point here is simple, keep an eye on the overall picture at all times. Use 2 -3 different time period charts for a big picture and then use 1 to make your trading decision.

Remember the Forex market does not play favorites. Learn to trade smarter and the profits will follow.



By: Forex King


Forex Trading Strategy – Why You Can Never Predict Forex Prices

October 29, 2009 in Forex Trading Strategies | Comments (0)

Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Many new forex traders think the core of a forex trading strategy should be predicting where forex prices will go. Try it and you will lose, you will win if you trade in a different way so why is prediction not the way to make money? Let’s find out. If you are predicting you are in effect hoping or guessing which is not a way to make money in any venture let alone forex trading. You cannot predict the future and if you try, your predictions will be as accurate as your horoscope.

There is however a big market in people who say they can predict and many theories that say you can such as Elliot wave, Fibonacci and Gann. They argue that as human nature is constant so the markets must be as well. However if you think about it this logic is obviously not true, because if markets were predictable with science, we would all know the answer in advance and there would be no market.

Markets move based upon uncertainty and while human nature is constant, it is not predictable with science – trading is a game of odds not certainties. If you want to win you trade the reality of price change and don’t try and guess in advance.

For example if you see a market testing a level of resistance you do not simply enter a trading signal – if you do you are trading against the trend and you could be wrong. Instead you wait for prices to test resistance and wait for prices to turn back the other way. Sure you miss the turn – but you couldn’t predict that anyway, so there is no point trying!

How do you know when to trade.

The secret of correct market timing is using momentum oscillators. There are many you can use and three of the best are: RSI, ADX and the stochastic indicator. We don’t have time to go through exactly how they work here simply look at our other articles and make them part of your essential forex education.

The key advantage they give you with your forex trading strategy is they allow you to gauge shifts in price momentum. You can use these shifts, to allow you to trade the reality of a price change to achieve better market timing and more forex profits.

The forex traders who rely on prediction lose and are generally naïve or greedy traders who think forex trading is simply a walk in the park – its not and neither would you expect it to be. The real pro forex traders don’t rely on hope or guessing or attempting to buy market tops or bottoms they look at and trade the reality of price change.

The way to succeed in forex is simply to look at support or resistance and time your entry on shifts in momentum and you should not just do this with a view to these levels holding.
You also need to buy or sell breakouts of new market highs or lows. It’s a fact that most markets develop their best trends from these highs and lows and you need to learn to go with them and enter the market.

It may look like your getting in at good levels and its tempting to wait for the pullback – but these moves tend to not pull back and accelerate and offer the biggest profit potential. The market price is the right place and if you cut out prediction and trade the reality, you can have the basis of a forex trading strategy that can make big consistent profits.

By: Monica Hendrix